A draft workbook was developed and presented at a workshop for USAID staff in Senegal in July 2000. On the basis of input from this workshop, Tulane engaged John Davies from the University of Maryland to provide a synthesis of existing methods and tools. We are not satisfied with this product but would like to meet with USAID to discuss the direction of the CVA activity. Our current thinking is to adapt the tool to stress emphasis on information required for response planning and also to emphasize the crosscutting nature of conflict vulnerability analysis. Core funds remain to complete this tool. We would like to field test the tool at least in Rwanda.

Conflict is an outcome of a variety of social and environmental processes. Thus, it is important to understand the causes and consequences of conflict and to development crosscutting strategies

Conflict Early Warning and Early Response for Sub-Saharan Africa.
Davies, John. College Park, University of Maryland. CERTI Project. New Orleans, Payson Center for International Development and Technology Transfer, Tulane University, September 2000 (Draft Working Paper).
Executive Summary(*.htm)  Executive Summary(*.pdf)

Arms Watching: Integrating Small Arms and Light Weapons into the Early Warning of Violent Conflict, Laurence, Edward J. (Ed), International Alert 
Paper (PDF)

Promoting Development in Areas of Actual or Potential Violent Conflict: Approaches in Conflict Impact Assessment and Early Warning,   
Leonhardt, Manuela & Nyheim, David; December 1999, International Alert and FEWER.
Paper (PDF)

Conflict Vulnerability Assessment
Conflict Management Group, March 2002
Paper (pdf)

Conflict Risk Assessment Report
Country Indicators for Foreign Policy Project, September 2002, Carleton University
Paper(pdf)